Lay the 0-0 Correct Score Market
Lay 0-0In English Football, 0-0 scorelines are quite unusual. There were only 27 goalless draws in the Premier League in 2011-12 for example, although usually there are a few more than this in a season.
But not many more.
This creates an opportunity for a popular football betting system based around laying goalless scorelines.
It's a system that promises regular wins mixed in with the occasional big loss.
Effectively you are betting that there will be a goal at some point in the match.
Typically it's possible to bet or lay a 0-0 scoreline at odds in the range 9 to 20. But this means of course, that if there are no goals, then your liability is pretty high.
Another risky aspect of Laying a 0-0 scoreline is that it's an all or nothing bet. Once a goal is score you've won, otherwise you've lost. It's not like a lay the draw bet which may come back into play as a match ebbs and flows and the lead changes hands.
How do you assess the odds of a 0-0 scoreline?For bettors who are looking for a value-based football betting system, assessing the odds of a goalless draw is problematical.
Do you assess the true probability of a 0-0 draw between two teams as being derived from the number of times they have been in a 0-0 draw - or the number of times they have failed to score in a match?
The circumstances of the match play a big part in it - tense relegation battles and derbies are more often grim goalless encounters that they might otherwise be.
Likewise, there are plenty of sides whose games always seem to have goals - West Brom, Manchester City and Manchester United, for example.
As with any value based betting system, current form has a big influence on the odds of a 0-0 draw. Judging the extent to which form is temporary requires a strong nerve and an ability to see out a run of bad luck too.
You need a degree of nerve too, because backing out of a misplaced 0-0 Lay as the odds descend rapidly from 15 down into single figures can be expensive.